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Qual 222025 FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation
Red71
852231.1
1066521.4
659113.8
Blue94
851912.8
30245.7
918320.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407002060801001207194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
55Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
71Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8522
#19
31.12.5
20.4→22.9
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
blue by 14.6
302
#17
45.72.0
35.5→37.5
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
Second
10665
#34
21.42.5
13.9→16.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
red by 1.2
9183
#32
20.12.0
15.5→17.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
Third
6591
#38
13.82.5
8.2→10.7
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End0.1
red by 1.0
8519
#26
12.82.0
12.8→14.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed