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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1083505010015012820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+102Teleop
+102Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
26Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +79
18Coral scored#3
66Coral points9
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
18Processor points0
8Net points4
26Algae points4
92Total teleop13
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
6Foul points0
128Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.9
36.538.4
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 32.9
9703
#33
18.21.5
10.59.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Second
46.81.9
41.243.1
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
red by 30.8
830
#23
15.92.6
23.821.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Third
13.63.2
15.919.0
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 2.4
6556
#37
11.32.6
8.86.2
Auto1.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed