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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96662040801201401607282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
15Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
51Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
72Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#13
38.41.4
32.330.9
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
red by 6.0
5144
#18
32.41.2
24.826.0
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Second
31.10.8
27.226.4
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
red by 7.4
8300
#14
23.71.2
19.320.5
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
Third
9312
#25
24.51.4
25.223.8
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
red by 1.0
23.52.0
19.821.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed