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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10161020408012014016011672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+54Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
22Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
78Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
12Foul points12
116Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.9
40.641.4
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
red by 9.5
548
#3
37.80.2
30.430.1
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
Second
46.50.9
33.634.5
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
red by 26.1
4216
#20
20.40.2
15.415.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
Third
7597
#35
14.80.9
10.911.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 0.5
8374
#40
15.30.4
12.412.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned