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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489802040608012014016055144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+73
Endgame+81
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +63
8Coral scored#19
28Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
38Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
12Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points8
55Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9210
#15
23.20.8
21.020.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
blue by 34.9
58.12.6
54.357.0
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
Second
5234
#29
18.50.5
14.414.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 6.3
7656
#10
24.74.4
15.920.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
Third
7221
#39
10.20.5
12.612.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
blue by 12.2
22.52.6
12.615.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned