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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7665020401001209889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
30Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +12
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
66Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
98Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.7
35.637.3
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
red by 18.5
31.11.5
23.324.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
Second
8300
#14
23.71.7
17.519.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
blue by 0.9
7289
#27
24.52.5
22.625.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Third
5234
#29
18.51.7
13.715.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 4.7
9210
#15
23.22.5
15.517.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned