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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1044005015010639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+53Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
67Total teleop28
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
106Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.11.4
51.152.6
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
red by 37.7
4216
#20
20.40.2
15.815.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
Second
23.51.3
21.420.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
red by 8.4
5225
#31DQ
15.10.4
15.214.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Third
4568
#24
18.52.4
15.718.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End0.9
red by 5.7
8519
#26
12.80.2
11.211.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed