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Qual 552025 FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation
Red123
555922.7
30245.7
921023.2
Blue70
655611.3
523418.5
750137.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976720408012014016012370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+55Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points40
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
86Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
123Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#17
45.71.4
40.6→42.0
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
red by 8.3
7501
#11
37.40.7
38.5→37.8
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
Second
9210
#15
23.22.0
21.4→23.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
red by 4.7
5234
#29
18.50.7
11.7→10.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Third
5559
#21
22.71.4
21.3→22.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
red by 11.4
6556
#37
11.31.1
10.8→9.7
Auto1.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed