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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142845010020011797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
80Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#8
6L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
117Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.11.1
59.658.4
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
red by 23.7
503
#12
34.40.0
28.728.8
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Second
46.81.1
42.641.4
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
red by 14.4
5144
#18
32.40.0
29.129.2
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Third
8423
#22
18.51.1
20.919.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 12.6
31.10.0
27.527.5
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned