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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76790501001502009279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+25Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
65Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
92Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.2
44.145.3
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
red by 11.8
548
#3
37.80.4
33.533.8
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
Second
4216
#20
20.41.2
17.218.4
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
blue by 10.7
8522
#19
31.10.5
27.628.1
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
Third
5205
#36
15.71.9
10.812.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 3.0
8519
#26
12.80.4
12.613.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned