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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1103905010015010635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave3
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +33
10Coral scored#5
37Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
55Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
12Foul points6
106Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.1
58.458.5
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
red by 42.8
8374
#40
15.31.5
13.512.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
21.40.1
21.721.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
red by 6.3
5225
#31
15.11.5
13.812.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Third
5205
#36
15.70.1
12.612.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 2.1
13.61.5
17.115.6
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed