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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85934060100120140160105105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
78Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points6
105Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.3
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
blue by 2.3
49.6
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
Second
7289
#27
24.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
blue by 0.2
7656
#10
24.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
Third
9703
#33
18.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 5.4
8519
#26
12.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned