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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754802040601001201408542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
67Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points6
85Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.81.4
41.442.8
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
red by 28.3
8423
#22
18.50.7
19.719.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Second
7597
#35
14.81.4
13.014.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
red by 1.0
6591
#38
13.80.9
13.913.0
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End0.1
Third
6556
#37
11.31.9
9.711.6
Auto1.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
red by 1.0
7221
#39
10.20.7
12.812.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned