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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66103050150200102135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points52
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
6Processor points24
8Net points20
14Algae points44
74Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
102Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#12
34.42.3
28.831.1
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
blue by 16.8
51.22.8
46.349.2
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Second
23.53.1
19.622.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
blue by 8.9
5144
#18
32.42.8
29.232.0
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Third
4216
#20
20.42.3
19.121.4
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
red by 0.3
9183
#32
20.12.8
17.119.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned