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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1267850100150105108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +28
10Coral scored#15
35Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
49Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
105Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.4
58.558.1
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
red by 20.3
548
#3
37.82.2
34.236.4
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
Second
7501
#11
37.40.4
37.837.4
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
red by 13.0
9312
#25
24.52.9
22.425.4
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Third
5225
#31
15.10.5
12.411.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 7.4
22.52.2
18.520.7
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned