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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3887020601001201401604490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+32
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +29
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
33Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
44Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#23
15.90.5
16.415.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
blue by 22.5
2960
#13
38.40.8
39.039.8
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
Second
8374
#40
15.30.5
12.011.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End2.1
blue by 7.4
5559
#21
22.70.6
22.723.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
Third
8519
#26
12.80.4
13.012.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
blue by 5.7
5234
#29
18.50.6
10.911.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned