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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7746020601001201401608032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
49Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
80Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7656
#10
24.71.2
25.726.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
red by 3.4
21.41.4
21.820.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
9210
#15
23.21.1
23.424.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
red by 9.6
13.61.4
15.614.2
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Third
4568
#24
18.51.1
18.119.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End0.9
red by 9.4
9239
#30
9.11.4
10.08.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed