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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141286080100140160180200220123153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +9
18Coral scored#17
64Coral points61
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
18Processor points18
12Net points24
30Algae points42
94Total teleop103
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
123Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.8
43.242.4
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
blue by 2.3
49.61.2
45.346.5
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
Second
7501
#11
37.40.8
37.436.6
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
blue by 9.3
46.81.2
42.844.1
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Third
8300
#14
23.70.8
24.323.5
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
blue by 7.4
31.11.2
28.229.5
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed