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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68802040601001201401605273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
34Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
52Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5559
#21
22.70.8
23.322.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
blue by 15.1
548
#3
37.80.1
36.436.3
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
Second
4216
#20
20.40.8
21.420.7
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
blue by 3.0
23.50.2
22.722.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Third
8423
#22
18.50.8
19.018.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
red by 2.6
830
#23
15.90.2
15.915.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned