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Qual 692025 FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation
Red99
523418.5
837415.3
50334.4
Blue117
522515.1
102551.2
970318.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578610015099117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
66Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
99Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#12
34.42.2
31.1→33.3
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
blue by 16.8
1025
#5
51.21.9
49.2→51.1
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Second
5234
#29
18.52.2
11.5→13.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
red by 0.3
9703
#33
18.21.9
16.3→18.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Third
8374
#40
15.32.7
11.5→14.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 0.2
5225
#31
15.12.3
11.9→14.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned