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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10259501509241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+55Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
14Coral scored#4
52Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
76Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
92Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.3
43.543.8
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
red by 23.3
9210
#15
23.21.4
24.623.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Second
5144
#18
32.40.3
32.032.3
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
red by 12.2
9183
#32
20.11.1
19.918.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
Third
8519
#26
12.80.3
12.612.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
red by 1.5
6556
#37
11.31.4
11.610.2
Auto1.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed