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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11266501001508364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+15Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
9Coral scored#12
32Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
40Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
83Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#17
45.70.9
43.742.8
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
red by 21.2
7289
#27
24.50.1
23.623.7
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Second
7656
#10
24.71.2
26.925.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
red by 1.1
8300
#14
23.70.1
23.523.6
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
Third
9312
#25
24.51.1
25.424.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
red by 8.7
5205
#36
15.70.1
15.615.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed