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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851275010015020082134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+54
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points16
17Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +52
7Coral scored#20
25Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
47Total teleop99
Reef
2L4#11
3L3#4
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points12
82Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.2
58.157.9
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
red by 8.5
49.60.8
46.547.4
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
Second
7221
#39
10.20.2
12.111.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
blue by 37.1
47.30.8
42.443.3
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
Third
9239
#30
9.10.2
8.78.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End0.2
blue by 12.3
21.41.0
20.421.5
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed