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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions944302060801201407946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
53Total teleop28
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
79Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#13
38.40.4
39.839.5
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
red by 15.9
22.50.1
20.720.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Second
8522
#19
31.10.4
29.529.2
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
red by 16.3
7597
#35
14.80.1
14.414.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Third
13.60.4
14.213.9
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 0.2
6591
#38
13.80.2
13.012.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed