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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10896608012014016014679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
88Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +67
12Foul points2
146Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.7
48.248.9
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
red by 11.2
2960
#13
38.40.4
38.638.2
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
Second
548
#3
37.80.7
36.437.1
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
red by 6.7
31.10.4
31.330.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
Third
9183
#32
20.10.7
18.819.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
blue by 4.4
7289
#27
24.50.4
24.724.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3