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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211016080140160180153107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+54Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave0
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points16
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
17Coral scored#15
62Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
94Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#6
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points6
153Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.0
44.245.2
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
red by 12.9
503
#12
34.40.3
33.533.7
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Second
302
#17
45.71.0
42.643.6
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
red by 13.3
5144
#18
32.40.3
31.431.7
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Third
5234
#29
18.51.0
15.416.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 6.3
7656
#10
24.70.3
23.724.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9