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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132830501001502001360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +37
22Coral scored#13
79Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
103Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#4
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +136
0Foul points-83
136Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.6
44.945.5
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
red by 9.3
7501
#11DQ
37.40.1
37.237.3
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
Second
46.50.6
44.645.2
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
red by 24.0
8895
#7DQ
22.50.1
22.222.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
5559
#21
22.70.6
20.921.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
red by 4.2
8423
#22DQ
18.50.1
18.218.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6