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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145775010020013484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+36Teleop
+54Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
82Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +50
2Foul points6
134Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.1
58.959.0
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
red by 27.0
8522
#19
31.10.0
31.031.0
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
Second
51.20.1
51.952.0
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 26.7
9312
#25
24.50.0
24.324.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Third
830
#23
15.90.1
16.716.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
blue by 7.7
8300
#14
23.70.0
23.523.5
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2