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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110105015020074103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +14
12Coral scored#17
43Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
61Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#10
3L3#7
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
74Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#17
45.70.2
42.842.6
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
blue by 1.1
46.80.8
44.144.9
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Second
4216
#20
20.40.2
20.720.4
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
blue by 4.1
7289
#27
24.51.0
23.724.7
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Third
13.60.2
13.913.6
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 9.9
23.50.9
22.523.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed