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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10060020408012014016010147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
12Coral scored#2
42Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
60Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points12
101Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.8
43.844.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
red by 21.7
7656
#10
24.72.1
25.823.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
Second
31.10.8
30.431.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
red by 8.4
5559
#21
22.71.7
22.520.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
Third
5225
#31
15.10.9
14.215.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
red by 4.9
7221
#39
10.21.7
11.910.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned