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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701050501509486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#17
55Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
75Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
94Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8522
#19
31.11.8
29.231.0
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
blue by 7.3
2960
#13
38.40.9
39.538.6
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
Second
22.51.6
20.622.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 9.9
5144
#18
32.40.8
32.331.4
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Third
5234
#29
18.51.6
13.815.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Level
4568
#24
18.50.9
19.418.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed