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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9796708090110120130140111103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points55
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
6Processor points0
24Net points12
30Algae points12
68Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#5
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
111Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#12
34.40.5
33.734.2
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
blue by 4.0
2960
#13
38.40.2
38.238.4
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
Second
5144
#18
32.40.5
31.732.2
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
red by 1.3
31.10.2
30.931.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
Third
7656
#10
24.70.5
24.024.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
red by 0.2
7289
#27
24.50.2
24.324.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3