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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391228010016018020098118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points19
27Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +33
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
57Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#8
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
98Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.7
59.058.3
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
red by 11.4
46.80.1
45.545.6
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Second
51.20.7
52.051.4
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 4.7
46.50.1
45.245.3
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
Third
830
#23
15.90.7
16.816.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
blue by 6.8
5559
#21
22.70.1
21.421.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2