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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118118115120125130135145156121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+23Teleop
+17Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points26
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +9
17Coral scored#15
60Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
6Processor points12
24Net points16
30Algae points28
90Total teleop81
Reef
9L4#7
8L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +35
18Foul points0
156Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.7
45.245.9
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
blue by 2.3
49.60.3
48.949.3
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
Second
302
#17
45.70.7
43.644.3
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
red by 7.9
548
#3
37.80.3
37.137.4
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
Third
5234
#29
18.50.7
16.417.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 1.7
9183
#32
20.10.3
19.519.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1