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Red142
612138.1
956622.1
171140.7
Blue146
819321.9
191869.7
518315.0
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14614480100120160180200142146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
109Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#10
5L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
142Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.9
47.246.3
Auto8.8
Teleop25.2
End6.7
blue by 29.0
69.70.1
70.570.6
Auto12.0
Teleop46.4
End11.3
Second
6121
#11
38.10.9
43.943.0
Auto6.5
Teleop30.2
End1.3
red by 16.2
8193
#15
21.90.1
23.924.1
Auto2.6
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Third
9566
#18
22.10.9
23.923.0
Auto2.2
Teleop19.7
End0.2
red by 7.2
5183
#21
15.00.1
16.516.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned