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Red95
387524.5
71556.1
716668.2
Blue67
400427.2
14136.3
52609.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411000502002509567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+42Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
3Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points1
33Total auto7
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
60Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
95Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.21.4
73.872.3
Auto19.8
Teleop41.6
End6.8
red by 31.9
141
#19
36.31.6
45.644.1
Auto8.5
Teleop19.7
End8.1
Second
3875
#23
24.51.4
35.133.7
Auto5.1
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 2.7
4004
#16
27.21.6
33.431.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End6.5
Third
7155
#22
6.11.4
7.35.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 3.6
5260
#17
9.71.6
11.39.8
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned