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Red66
52609.7
360332.6
516220.5
Blue136
917632.6
611424.7
191869.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59161010020025066136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+56
Endgame+80
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +49
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points59
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
38Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
10Foul points0
66Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#20
32.60.8
36.035.2
Auto5.7
Teleop20.1
End6.9
blue by 37.1
69.70.3
69.469.1
Auto12.0
Teleop46.4
End11.3
Second
20.50.8
17.817.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 12.1
9176
#24
32.60.3
38.538.2
Auto4.5
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Third
5260
#17
9.70.8
8.67.8
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
blue by 15.0
24.70.3
26.426.1
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned