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Red135
664220.1
376767.1
400427.2
Blue81
71556.1
518315.0
956622.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17241010015020025013581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
96Total teleop71
Reef
11L4#4
7L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
12Foul points0
135Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.11.7
80.979.2
Auto18.3
Teleop40.9
End8.0
red by 45.0
9566
#18
22.11.2
20.421.6
Auto2.2
Teleop19.7
End0.2
Second
4004
#16
27.21.7
29.327.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End6.5
red by 12.3
5183
#21
15.01.2
14.715.8
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
6642
#14
20.11.7
14.713.0
Auto3.0
Teleop17.1
End-0.0
red by 14.0
7155
#22
6.11.2
4.45.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed