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Red75
819321.9
335733.5
14136.3
Blue129
791114.4
716668.2
171140.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715205020025075129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
7Coral scored#13
25Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
45Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
75Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#19
36.31.2
42.641.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.7
End8.1
blue by 31.9
68.20.2
72.972.7
Auto19.8
Teleop41.6
End6.8
Second
33.51.2
28.527.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
blue by 7.2
40.70.2
45.145.0
Auto8.8
Teleop25.2
End6.7
Third
8193
#15
21.91.2
22.621.4
Auto2.6
Teleop16.9
End2.3
red by 7.5
7911
#13
14.40.2
13.513.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned