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Red136
360332.6
956622.1
191869.7
Blue88
917632.6
516220.5
518315.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1678905015020025013688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
107Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
136Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.7
69.168.4
Auto12.0
Teleop46.4
End11.3
red by 37.2
9176
#24
32.60.1
38.238.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Second
3603
#20
32.60.7
35.234.5
Auto5.7
Teleop20.1
End6.9
red by 12.1
20.50.1
17.017.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
9566
#18
22.10.7
21.620.8
Auto2.2
Teleop19.7
End0.2
red by 7.2
5183
#21
15.00.1
15.815.8
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed