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Red71
52609.7
365840.3
387524.5
Blue78
611424.7
612138.1
664220.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829902040601201401607178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
48Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points0
71Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.8
35.734.9
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
red by 2.2
6121
#11
38.10.5
44.243.6
Auto6.5
Teleop30.2
End1.3
Second
3875
#23
24.50.8
30.029.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 0.2
24.70.5
26.125.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Third
5260
#17
9.70.8
7.87.0
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
blue by 10.4
6642
#14
20.10.5
13.012.5
Auto3.0
Teleop17.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed