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Red163
439860.7
400427.2
335733.5
Blue126
716668.2
592622.3
819321.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231286080100140160163126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+33Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +36
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points70
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
120Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#8
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
163Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#10
60.72.3
59.762.0
Auto8.2
Teleop51.7
End0.8
blue by 7.5
68.20.0
72.772.7
Auto19.8
Teleop41.6
End6.8
Second
33.52.3
27.229.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
red by 11.3
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Third
4004
#16
27.22.3
27.629.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End6.5
red by 5.3
8193
#15
21.90.0
21.421.4
Auto2.6
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned