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Red130
365840.3
516220.5
191869.7
Blue74
360332.6
518315.0
664220.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1446205010020013074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+52Teleop
+60Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
18Coral scored#9
64Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
90Total teleop55
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points4
130Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.6
68.469.1
Auto12.0
Teleop46.4
End11.3
red by 37.1
3603
#20
32.60.5
34.535.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.1
End6.9
Second
40.30.6
34.935.6
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
red by 20.2
6642
#14
20.10.5
12.512.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.1
End-0.0
Third
20.50.6
17.017.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 5.5
5183
#21
15.00.5
15.816.3
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed