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Red115
592622.3
171140.7
335733.5
Blue54
400427.2
71556.1
917632.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977505015020011554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +36
15Coral scored#5
55Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
69Total teleop33
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
115Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.6
38.940.5
Auto8.8
Teleop25.2
End6.7
red by 8.1
9176
#24
32.61.4
38.136.8
Auto4.5
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Second
33.51.6
29.531.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
red by 6.3
4004
#16
27.21.4
29.928.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End6.5
Third
22.31.6
22.323.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2
red by 16.2
7155
#22
6.11.4
6.55.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed