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Red105
439860.7
819321.9
956622.1
Blue112
716668.2
52609.7
508425.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136135105115120125130140105112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
91Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
105Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#10
60.71.3
62.060.6
Auto8.2
Teleop51.7
End0.8
blue by 7.5
68.20.9
72.771.8
Auto19.8
Teleop41.6
End6.8
Second
9566
#18
22.11.3
20.819.5
Auto2.2
Teleop19.7
End0.2
blue by 3.8
5084
#12
25.90.9
24.623.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
8193
#15
21.91.3
21.420.1
Auto2.6
Teleop16.9
End2.3
red by 12.2
5260
#17
9.70.9
7.06.1
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed