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Red116
14136.3
376767.1
360332.6
Blue127
191869.7
664220.1
791114.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16990050150200250300116127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points13
38Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +43
8Coral scored#18
30Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
52Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
116Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.11.9
70.969.0
Auto18.3
Teleop40.9
End8.0
blue by 2.6
69.72.2
69.171.3
Auto12.0
Teleop46.4
End11.3
Second
141
#19
36.31.9
38.536.7
Auto8.5
Teleop19.7
End8.1
red by 16.2
6642
#14
20.12.2
12.915.1
Auto3.0
Teleop17.1
End-0.0
Third
3603
#20
32.61.9
35.033.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.1
End6.9
red by 18.2
7911
#13
14.42.2
12.014.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned