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Red135
819321.9
611424.7
365840.3
Blue126
956622.1
716668.2
917632.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9817250150200250135126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+1Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points33
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +22
21Coral scored#17
75Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
7Net algae#2
6Processor points18
28Net points8
34Algae points26
109Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#9
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
135Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.32.6
37.840.4
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
blue by 27.9
68.21.8
71.870.1
Auto19.8
Teleop41.6
End6.8
Second
24.72.6
24.126.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
blue by 7.8
9176
#24
32.61.8
35.433.6
Auto4.5
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Third
8193
#15
21.92.6
18.721.3
Auto2.6
Teleop16.9
End2.3
blue by 0.2
9566
#18
22.11.8
21.719.9
Auto2.2
Teleop19.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed