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Red45
518315.0
791114.4
387524.5
Blue84
335733.5
508425.9
664220.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568101001502004584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
30Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
45Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#23
24.50.7
24.123.4
Auto5.1
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 9.0
33.50.7
32.633.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
5183
#21
15.00.7
17.717.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 11.0
5084
#12
25.90.7
25.926.6
Auto3.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
7911
#13
14.40.7
14.213.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 5.7
6642
#14
20.10.7
15.115.8
Auto3.0
Teleop17.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed