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Red64
508425.9
819321.9
400427.2
Blue101
387524.5
664220.1
516220.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876105010015064101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+51
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points18
12Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +45
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
36Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
64Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#16
27.21.5
27.926.4
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End6.5
red by 2.7
3875
#23
24.52.2
23.425.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Second
5084
#12
25.91.5
26.625.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
red by 5.4
20.52.2
18.120.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
8193
#15
21.91.5
21.319.8
Auto2.6
Teleop16.9
End2.3
red by 1.8
6642
#14
20.12.2
15.818.0
Auto3.0
Teleop17.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed