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Red92
518315.0
439860.7
611424.7
Blue103
791114.4
335733.5
956622.1
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1367805010015020092103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
59Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
8Foul points20
92Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#10
60.72.2
60.958.7
Auto8.2
Teleop51.7
End0.8
red by 27.2
33.50.1
33.333.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
24.72.2
26.724.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
red by 2.6
9566
#18
22.10.1
19.920.0
Auto2.2
Teleop19.7
End0.2
Third
5183
#21
15.02.2
17.014.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 0.5
7911
#13
14.40.1
13.513.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed